Expected Return, Standard Deviation

Questions and Solutions.

  • The following information is available for Stock AB C
 

Return

 

10%

 

21%

 

15%

 

Probability

 

30%

 

40%

 

25%

Calculate the expected return for stock ABC

Suggested Solution 

  • Expected = Σ𝑬(𝑹)
  • (E x R) +(E x R)
10 21 15
30 40 25
(0.3×0.10) (0.40×0.21) (0.25×0.15)
0.03 + 0.084+ 0.0375= 15.15%

Question 2

  • A financial asset has the following returns and probabilities of returns

 

 

Return

 

3%

 

1.2%

 

2.3%

 

Probability

 

30%

 

50%

 

25%

Calculate the expected return for the financial asset.

Suggested Solution 

Return 3 1.2 2.3
Probability 30 50 25
Expected Return Σ𝑬(𝑹) (0.3×0.03) (0.5×0.012) (0.25×0.023)
0.009 + 0.006+ 0.00575= 2.08%

 

You are employed in the investment and portfolio management department. The head of the department gave you a task to select the ideal portfolios. In other words, portfolios likely to lie on EF( Efficient frontier).

                                                                                                                           Portfolio
A B C D E
Expected Return 15% 17% 23% 14% 10%
Standard Deviation 18 10 15 32 3

List 3 portfolios that are likely to lie on the Efficient frontier.

Suggested Solution 

  • Portfolio B, C and E
  • Because they display high return and lowest risk on the available portfolios.

Question 

  • ABJ owns the following stocks.
 

Stock

 

A

 

B

 

C

 

Market Value

 

ZAR5,000

 

ZAR2,500

 

ZAR4,000

 

Expected Return

 

10%

 

9%

 

7%

The portfolio expected return will be close to?

Suggested Solution 

First calculate the weights attached to the 3 securities

  • 5,000+2,500+4,000= ZAR11,500
  • A=5000/11500 = 0.43
  • B=2500/11500 =0.22
  • C=4000/11500=0.35
  • (0.43+0.22+0.35) =1 

Insert the formula

  • E(Rp) = WA(RA) +WB(RB) +WC(RC)
  • =(0.43×10) +(0.22X9)+(0.35×7)
  • = 8.73%

Question 

A portfolio has two assets that are perfectly positively correlated. If 40% of an investor’s funds were allocated to an asset with a standard deviation of 0.5% and 60% were invested in an asset with a standard deviation of 0.4,% what is the standard deviation of the portfolio?

 

  • What if the two assets are perfectly negatively (-1)
  • Comment on the values from negative and positive correlations. ( 1 and -1).

Suggested Solution 

Perfect positive correlation.

  • =(0.4)^2(0.5)^2+(0.6)^2(0.4)^2+2(0.4)(0.6)[(1)(0.5)(0.4)]
  • =0.04+0.0576+0.096
  • =√0.1936
  • =0.44%

Perfect negative correlation

  • =(0.4)^2(0.5)^2+(0.6)^2(0.4)^2+2(0.4)(0.6)[(-1)(0.5)(0.4)]
  • =0.04+0.0576+(-0.096)
  • =0.0016
  • =√(0.0016 )
  • =0.04%

Perfect positive correlation is not necessarily ideal because we failed to reduce the standard deviation of the asset with lowest standard deviation (0.4) i.e. (0.5≤𝝈≥0.4). With perfect negative correlation standard deviation has fallen to 0.04.

Question

Consider the expected returns and standard deviations for the following portfolios:

                                     Portfolio 1     Portfolio 2     Portfolio 3             Portfolio 4
Expected Return        10%               12%                      11%                                14%
Standard Deviation    15%               13%                    12%                                18%
Relative to the other portfolios, the portfolio that is not mean variance efficient is:

Suggested Solution

Portfolio 1 is not efficient because it has a lower expected return and higher risk than both Portfolios 2 and 3.

 

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